STATEMENT BY SCIENTISTS RE PARIS DEAL -- 2.C WARMING LIKELY TO BE EXCEEDED, 1.5C OUT OF REACH

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29 september 2016

As Trump denies climate change, scientists fear we’re about to blow past the 2-degree red line

By Chris Mooney, The Washington Post September 29, 2016

A new scientific statement released Thursday — underscoring the urgency of grappling with global warming — presented a sharp contrast with the state of public discussion of the subject in the United States.

Here, in the wake of the first presidential debate, the media skewered Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump for denying his prior Twitter claim that “the concept of global warming was created by and for the Chinese” — even as Trump’s surrogates continued to bluntly advance positions contrary to modern scientific understanding on the subject. His campaign manager Kellyanne Conway, for instance, asserted on CNN that Trump believes the current climate swing is “naturally occurring,” contradicting the view of mainstream climate researchers that it is mainly human-caused.

[We just might have a real climate debate in this election. That’s bad news for Trump]

On Thursday, a group of seven distinguished climate scientists led by Robert Watson, a former chairman of the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, asserted that the chance of holding warming to below 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels “has almost certainly already been missed.” And we could very soon be on an irrevocable path to 2 degrees of warming, they continue, unless countries dramatically up their pledges to cut emissions under the Paris climate agreement — an agreement Trump has said he would “cancel.”

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